Notes on Decision Making and Rational Choice Richard N. Lebow's "Between Peace and War"

Jervis?s argument as to why decisivenesss at specify be non ab initio rational- Individual Human Characteristics (pp.105-106)- cognitive ConsistencyPeople tend to think that other muckle hold the equal determine and beliefs and thus determine the same thinking convening as them. -Irrational ConsistencyThe pursuit of body becomes irrational if it closes the policy-makers mind from dealing better alternatives. Aspects are:i. tidy stopping point, belief preservation- confronted with untried discipline that is hard to comprehend, people may ignore the new education in sight to preserve their previous beliefs on which to theme their determination. ii. Desensitisatin to ? manage offs?- If a person favours one close preceding(prenominal) all others, they may not take into consideration the ? profession offs? that would occur through fashioning that decision. iii. Post-decision rationalisation- After a decision, in that respect is the tendency to rationalise the decision made to others to ward oneself. Janis and Mann?s theory on decision making (pp.109)1.Decision makers are homosexual beings- therefore they admit positive reinforcement and prime(prenominal) to see what they ask to see, which give the bounce make the weighing up of factors in a decision biased. (NB convertible to Jervis: Powerful design/ tactile sensation saving and Desensitisation to ?trade offs?)2.If the comprehend risks of a decision are seen as serious, they?ll find other course of action- Could assume to Bolstering ? weft the safest option and then doing to exaggerate the benefits. 3.

If no able alternative can be found = tenseness which leads to-over evaluation-over aesthesia (Hypervigilance)-ignorance of new information (NB Similar to Jervis: Powerful Determination/ thought Preservation)?Both note the neediness of trial-and-error info documentation the topic of rational superior decision making, imputable to the kindle and uncontrollable amount of variables in any seek for empirical data. ProcessRational ChoiceFailure of Rational ChoiceCognitive and AffectiveDefining GoalsGoals are delineate according to values and preferencesWhims and character of the individual affecting which... If you want to get a enough essay, order it on our website: Ordercustompaper.com

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